Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 161.326193 187.448266 217.880756 256.309962 304.051180 362.092410 4.390591e+02
2025-06-08 123.323858 154.538725 194.812648 251.839477 332.655132 446.610571 6.263515e+02
2025-06-15 107.045229 141.282637 188.738317 261.829636 376.498025 559.057360 8.945296e+02
2025-06-22 89.934061 122.777271 170.510675 248.374924 379.658181 608.352444 1.082305e+03
2025-06-29 80.029344 112.567971 161.908185 246.745273 399.860665 691.206919 1.375005e+03
2025-07-06 72.507334 104.628489 155.156793 246.178510 420.941661 782.334157 1.742254e+03
2025-07-13 69.451704 103.049888 158.081975 262.551819 478.029273 970.527227 2.502810e+03
2025-07-20 67.315166 102.560567 162.579103 282.544428 548.621850 1224.757924 3.743178e+03
2025-07-27 62.985814 97.822719 158.855877 285.631310 582.897946 1404.863802 4.976297e+03
2025-08-03 59.811063 94.668951 157.492473 293.169909 630.207254 1650.793816 6.948102e+03
2025-08-10 56.105399 90.158435 152.946210 292.933931 657.860387 1853.353726 9.175616e+03
2025-08-17 53.290485 86.956188 150.486863 296.864968 698.347615 2131.443128 1.279609e+04
2025-08-24 49.722087 82.349235 145.333294 295.263007 728.225567 2419.571928 1.815634e+04
2025-08-31 46.133090 77.407085 138.998894 289.949220 746.824132 2690.515345 2.550125e+04
2025-09-07 44.430951 75.880077 139.532664 301.965476 827.501140 3364.923015 4.739194e+04
2025-09-14 40.693087 70.007137 130.017925 285.790473 804.455181 3454.485515 5.944845e+04
2025-09-21 38.414339 66.831927 126.035522 283.834643 833.573496 3913.015705 9.692823e+04
2025-09-28 36.451821 64.114039 122.741124 283.154609 868.125640 4477.080618 1.733385e+05
2025-10-05 35.972732 64.374556 126.237367 302.835081 997.514792 6073.035281 6.514998e+05
2025-10-12 35.701563 65.033480 130.757008 326.961112 1165.254631 8638.157340 6.765528e+06
2025-10-19 34.304586 63.156748 128.919079 330.695248 1238.871840 10497.591612 1.531768e+08
2025-10-26 33.279809 61.996263 128.707166 339.824472 1348.941225 13479.029631 NaN
2025-11-02 31.886038 59.905884 125.901458 339.538490 1407.695385 16042.660797 NaN